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Watt, rushing the passer from the weak side, has 8 sacks in the Steelers’ first seven games. The Bears need to keep him away from Fields as much as possible to have a chance. —57 percent of over/under bettors think the point total is a too low being under 40 points, even when factoring the limitations of both offenses. Kansas City is 3-13 against the spread in the Chiefs’ last 16 games.
New England +4 At Seattle Total 45
This may bring betting value to underdogs as a whole this weekend, however, there is a subsection of underdogs that has an even stronger trend. In Week 1, 12 of the 16 underdogs covered the spread and nine won straight up. Visit the BetMGM sportsbook from your computer or mobile device to view all updated NFL betting odds, live betting odds, and more for Week 3 and throughout the season.
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Arizona and its States With Legal Betting opponents have gone over 47.5 combined points in five of six games this season. The Texans have committed the fourth-most turnovers in the league , and are playing the third-ranked Cardinals defense which has forced 13. The Texans score 15.3 points per game , and will be up against a Cardinals defense which ranks third in the league (allowing 18.2 ppg). The Cardinals have the first-ranked offense in the NFL in terms of points per play (0.49), and will be up against the 29th-ranked defense in that category, owned by the Texans (0.46). Last season, the Ravens were 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS as road favorites. Last season, the Bears were 4-4 SU and 4-4 ATS as underdogs on the road.
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Some bettors like to bet against home favorites of seven points or more. It doesn’t matter which teams are playing, it’s the point spread situation that bettors focus on. So we will keep track of how home favorites are doing so your can follow the recent and long-term NFL trends. We will introduce trends focused on teams coming off two consecutive losses or teams coming off a bye week.
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Once you know for a fact why the money is going where it is, it will then be time to decide if you agree or disagree. If it’s a dominant team facing a weaker squad with a reasonable line, there’s a good chance you’ll want to take notice. The same applies to trends involving the amount of money people are wagering. If a dominant team is facing off with a weaker foe with a reasonable line, a lot of the money can fall on the side of the better team. While it may be interesting to know one team holds a 4-1 advantage over the other for the previous five meetings, it doesn’t mean much when they are only playing each other every few years. As November winds down, it becomes even more readily apparent.
After losing as a massive double-digit favorite last week, the Bills will try again this week against the Jets. This line has crept down a little bit for Buffalo, who comes into the game 5-3 SU and ATS, which is not quite what we expected at this point in the season. Colts are 7-1 SU in their previous eight games when playing at home vs. Jacksonville. The Colts are 4-5 on the season, but 6-3 ATS, as they’ve been very good to bettors this season.
Nfl Team Trends
Chiefs are ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Decades-old rivalries and entrenched home and road tendencies make betting on NHL games a potentially lucrative pastime. Patterns and streaks involving division foes often point to significant betting value when it comes to NHL puck lines and moneyline wagers. They say the hardest sport to beat consistently is the NBA point spread. And the trends seem to bear this out, with over-unders and spreads always seeming to hover around 50%. That’s a hard way to make a living betting NBA, but it can be done when you know what to look for.
Under HC Pete Carroll , the Seahawks have scored 7.2 points more than their opponents at home. With that differential, they are No. 3 in the league, trailing only the Tom Brady-led Patriots in Foxborough and Aaron Rodgers-led Packers at Lambeau over that time. With their loss to the 49ers last week, the Rams have been officially eliminated from the playoff race, and big organizational changes are expected this offseason. L-Jax might play, but I doubt he’ll go more than a few series, and he’s by no means a guarantor of success. Road underdogs are 8-3 ATS (40.6% ROI) against the Ravens in Jackson’s starts.
Only three underdogs won out of 14 games played over the weekend. Jacksonville and Las Vegas were the only two on Sunday, and neither carried a big price. The Titans were a decent win, but it’s tough to have three wins make up for losing 11 units on the favorites that did win. After Week 6, we now have had the strategy of taking a flat one-unit bet on every underdog returning a profit in three weeks and a loss in three others. The bloodbath this week now turned this strategy negative on the year, as the losing weeks have been bigger than the winning ones. If you want to see which underdogs have a chance for week seven,check out our first look at the NFL opening lines video.